Decline and Fall (Maybe) Feb 13 - Patriot Act, Is Iran Next?, Food Prices, and Our Man in Cairo

Congress will renew the Patriot Act this week with no real opposition. It rips away constitutional rights right and left. That doesn't seem to matter. Iranians interested in fair elections and a civilized government will demonstrate in Tehran today. Will they be assaulted by government forces as they were in 2009? Food prices will spike dramatically in February due to weather problems in Mexico. Is Nobel Prize winner Mohamed ElBaradie, "Our Man in Cairo" (meaning The Money Party man)?

By Michael Collins

Renewing the Patriot Act: What is the Patriot Act?  The government claimed that it was a vital law necessary to protect us against future terrorist acts.

Who would oppose that?  Shortly after 9/11 the act became law.  There was public shock at the devastation caused by the attacks on the World Trade Center and Pentagon.  Surely, the government would make good use of the legislation.  Failing to do so would violate the public trust since the act eliminated major constitutional protections of privacy, the right to a fair trial, and other civil liberties.

Before the act, you had an unqualified right to a "fair and speedy trial:"

In all criminal prosecutions, the accused shall enjoy the right to a speedy and public trial, by an impartial jury of the State and district wherein the crime shall have been committed, which district shall have been previously ascertained by law, and to be informed of the nature and cause of the accusation; to be confronted with the witnesses against him; to have compulsory process for obtaining witnesses in his favor, and to have the Assistance of Counsel for his defense.  Sixth Amendment, United States Constitution

When citizens are prosecuted under the Patriot Act, the Department of Justice doesn't have to detail charges and evidence defined as "classified information" concerning "national security."  Assistant US Attorney Generals do not have to reveal evidence to defense attorneys unless those attorneys have the required security clearance.  Defendants have no access to the charges against them.  Judges have to stipulate their accuracy and juries must take the government's word that the charges are accurate.  (US Department of Justice Criminal Resource Manual).

So much for your right to be "informed of the nature and cause of the accusation" and a "fair trial."   All the government needs to convict you up is say, it's a matter of national security, trust us.

The act also allows the government to secretly break and enter into your home or tap your electronic communication without notice.  This was necessary for "national security," proponents argued.

The Fourth Amendment to the Constitution states:

"The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation, and particularly describing the place to be searched, and the persons or things to be seized." Fourth Amendment

Did this erosion of constitutional rights help in the fight against terrorism?

The chart below is a fiscal year 2008 report to the US Senate leadership listing sneak and peak warrants and warrant extensions, a key feature of the act.  These warrants allow law enforcement officials to search a home, personal records, and monitor electronic communication without any notice to the subject of the search or monitoring.

Of 1291 total requests for warrants or extensions in fiscal year 2008, only five concerned terrorism.  The majority, including wiretaps, focused on drug dealers.  The remainder focused on other criminal activity.

The Patriot Act is a bipartisan effort.  Joe Biden takes credit for his Omnibus Counterterrorism Act of 1995.serving as the model for then Attorney General John Ashcroft's  original version of the act in 2001.

This is just a small part of the act up for renewal early this week.  Our constitutional rights end with a whimper, not a bang.

Some Food Prices to Double, Triple for Next Few Weeks While we were speculating about the role of food practices in the Egyptian revolution, food prices here are getting ready to explode.  Robert Oak over at Economic Populist grabbed and commented on this.

Farmers throughout northern Mexico and the Southwest experienced unprecedented crop losses.  Now devastation that seemed so far away, is hitting us in the pocketbooks.

"We've had to double and triple some prices and consumers come in and it's quite a shock to them," said Rusty Peake, GM of Food4Less in Southeast Portland.

"Increase, increase, increase," said produce manager Troy Winterhalter as he watched urgent messages coming across his laptop computer. "Peppers, zucchini, cucumbers, asparagus, the entire asparagus crop was wiped out," said Winterhalter.  KGW.com, Portland, Oregon February 13, 2011

There's a new crop coming in the Spring when prices should stabilize.  This may be a prelude to regular price shocks as climate change begins to work it's way into the crop growing cycle.

Is Iran Next for a People's Revolution? The Iranian opposition plans demonstrations on Monday, February 14. Opposition leaders Mehdi Karroubi and Mir-Hossein Mousavi told the government it should allow the demonstrations. There was no response. The government arrested Mehdi Karroubi and cut off his communications. Image

Two reports from Iran indicate the mood of the ruler, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei, and President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.

Iran- Government Tightens Grip to Prevent Planned Demonstration on Monday

(11 February 2011) "The International Campaign for Human Rights in Iran called for the immediate release of dozens of journalists and dissidents who have been arbitrarily detained in an apparent effort to intimidate Iranians from participating in a 14 February rally in solidarity with the Egyptian pro-democracy movement."

Iran Steps Up Pressure On Opposition

(11 February 2011) "Iranian authorities have stepped up pressure on the opposition with more arrests as the February 14 march proposed by opposition leaders draws closer."

Look at what happened last time the Iranian people invoked their right to freely assemble and state their grievances:

“Give Me Liberty…” Iranian People Demand Democracy June 23, 2009

The Iranian Green movement has a facebook page with excellent media promoting the demonstrations.

Our Man in Cairo Mohamed ElBaradie, former head of the the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), has been in Cairo supporting the Egyptian revolution.  He is positioning himself as some sort of interim leader or a candidate for president, if and when elections are held.  Here's a revealing statement he made reported in the Wall Street Journal, February 11:

When asked about whether the new government should consider holding the outgoing administration accountable for past crimes, Mr. ElBaradei said, "Egyptians should focus on the future and try to find a common purpose."

That sounds a great deal like President Obama when he refused to hold anyone in the Bush administration accountable for the outrages from 2000 through 2008.  That's why ElBaradie looks a lot like Our man in Cairo.

END

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